Current forecasts suggest there’s more than a 60% chance that the current El Niño will develop into a super El Niño

**El Niño Forecasts Indicate Over 60% Chance of Developing into a Super El Niño**

*Q Costa Rica, September 2026* – Climate models currently project that the ongoing El Niño event has more than a 60 % probability of intensifying into a super El Niño. The forecast, released by Q Costa Rica, highlights the potential for more pronounced warming of Pacific Ocean waters and a corresponding increase in the climatic impacts associated with the phenomenon.

El Niño, a natural climate pattern characterized by unusually warm sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, is known to influence weather across Central America. In Costa Rica, El Niño events typically bring drier conditions, especially along the Pacific coast, leading to reduced rainfall and heightened risk of drought.

The Q Costa Rica forecast underscores the importance of monitoring the developing event, as a super El Niño could amplify these effects and pose additional challenges for water resources, agriculture, and disaster preparedness in the region.

Article source: qcostarica.com | Image credit: Newsweek

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